The Real Economy

Canadian housing push gains momentum amid new government measures

Exploring what federal, provincial initiatives mean for the real estate market

June 30, 2026
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Economics The Real Economy Real estate

Canada’s spring economic update builds on a wave of coordinated federal and provincial housing measures—reinforcing a national push to improve affordability and accelerate housing supply.

Housing policy has emerged as a central economic lever in Canada, with governments at various levels pivoting from demand-side stimulus toward supply-side structural reform.

This includes a stronger focus on productivity, supported by $41.9 million over five years to modernize building codes, streamline approvals and accelerate adoption of innovative and prefabricated construction products.

On the financing side, accelerating over $7 billion in low-cost loans for rental housing—to support up to 16,500 units—along with expanding mortgage insurance for “missing middle” housing aims to unlock capital and increase supply.

Economic conditions, meanwhile, continue to point to underutilized capacity and elevated unemployment. These factors suggest that growth remains below potential and create a challenging backdrop for policymakers, who must balance inflation risks with a still-fragile labour market.

Examining recent federal and provincial tax-related measures, along with their potential effects on the real estate sector, can help individuals and businesses navigate the various obstacles and opportunities in the current market.

Key federal measures

Federal housing momentum has been building since presentation of the 2025 federal budget, which allocated $13 billion over five years through the Build Canada Homes plan to accelerate affordable housing construction.

This was followed by the $8.8 billion Canada-Ontario Partnership to Build, announced March 30, 2026, which targets lower development charges over the next decade. However, its impact hinges on municipal alignment.

The spring economic update introduced two measures aimed at easing housing affordability pressures and increasing tax certainty for major housing and infrastructure development and nation-building projects. They focus on:

  • Expanding the Home Buyers’ Plan repayment grace period
  • Prioritizing advance income tax ruling requests for large-scale nation-building projects, including housing and infrastructure

These measures are aimed at helping reduce tax uncertainty and supporting timely delivery of major development projects.

The federal government also previously announced a temporary goods and services tax (GST) reduction on qualifying new homes priced up to $1 million, with a partial phaseout for homes priced between $1 million and $1.5 million.

Notable provincial measures

Several provinces announced tax measures centered around the real estate industry.

Ontario proposed temporary relief to qualifying home purchases by removing the provincial portion of the harmonized sales tax (HST) on new homes. This, coupled with the related federal measure, could provide relief for those purchasing homes up to $1 million.

British Columbia proposed an increase to its speculation and vacancy tax from three per cent to four per cent effective Jan. 1, 2027. The provincial government also proposed expanding the property tax exemption for purpose-built rental housing, allowing developers to lease units for up to 24 months before completion without losing eligibility.

However, these measures may conflict with B.C.’s expansion of its provincial sales tax (PST), effective Oct. 1, 2026, to include rental property and strata management services and commissions related to buying and selling non-residential real estate.

This expansion could stifle efforts to combat housing affordability, as it may increase project costs for developers and real estate operators, particularly when professional services form a significant part of project planning and execution.

Quebec focused its budgetary measures on strengthening oversight in the residential construction industry. In particular, the provincial government proposed enhanced enforcement of tax compliance in the construction sector—with a focus on residential construction activity—and expanded audit and inspection activity by Revenu Quebec with a greater on-site presence at construction and renovation projects. 

What this could mean for the real estate industry

The various federal and provincial measures highlight an ongoing focus on tax measures as a tool to address housing supply and affordability, with efforts tailored to specific jurisdictions.

While several measures aim to encourage new residential development, higher taxes and increased oversight in some parts of the country may reduce the overall benefit for certain real estate projects—particularly where living costs are already rising.

As a result, real estate projects may require earlier consideration of the tax implications to understand total up-front costs. Many of the relief measures introduced are also temporary and targeted, suggesting they are designed to encourage short-term activity rather than provide long‑term structural changes to the market.

Execution risk in housing delivery is also a key bottleneck. Canada is projected to require more than 1.4 million additional skilled trades workers by 2033, which may constrain delivery timelines. While federal initiatives aim to train up to 100,000 new workers, the scale of the shortfall suggests labour will remain a binding constraint.

Implications for individuals and businesses

Individual homebuyers and landlords could benefit from the enhanced housing rebates and GST relief, although timing and home values will be important.

That said, individual investors in B.C. should consider the effect of the increased vacancy and speculation tax on their investment returns when assessing holding strategies.

For corporations, developers may need to plan for higher project costs where PST applies to professional services and expenses. PST is generally not recoverable and often becomes a direct cost of doing business, unlike GST/HST.

Construction businesses, particularly in Quebec, should anticipate increased oversight by Revenu Quebec and ensure documentation and compliance practices remain up to date.

Large-scale developers may benefit from federal advance rulings for nation-building projects, which could improve planning confidence for complex investments.

The takeaway

These federal and provincial measures highlight the importance of early tax planning, province-specific analysis and ongoing monitoring of temporary relief measures as they evolve.

While incentives remain a central policy tool, their scope, timing and interaction with broader tax changes will continue to shape real estate activity across Canada.

RSM contributors

  • Nicole Lechter
    Real Estate Senior Analyst
  • Sigita Bersenas
    Manager
  • Farryn Cohn
    Farryn Cohn
    Senior Manager
  • Elizabeth Ojesekhoba
    Senior Associate

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