If the objective of Budget 2024 is to improve housing affordability, the effect of these tax incentives may be dampened by a higher capital gains inclusion rate. Budget 2024 proposed an increase to the capital gains inclusion rate for corporations and trusts from 50 per cent to 66.67 per cent starting June 25, 2024. Individuals will also be subject to the capital gains inclusion rate increase to the extent they have annual capital gains exceeding $250,000. The budget documents do not provide any exclusion for certain types of capital gains nor do they include any plan to include grandfathering rules for accrued gains prior to June 25, 2024.
The increased capital gains inclusion rate may discourage capital investment in the residential RE sector in the long-term. In 2000, when the government lowered the capital gains inclusion rate to its current rate of 50 per cent, it posited that the reduction would help ensure that businesses had access to the capital they needed in a more competitive economy. As a result, RE, as a capital-intensive sector, could be negatively impacted by a higher capital gains inclusion rate.
While the housing market is a complex and volatile sector, the government might consider exempting residential development from the higher capital gains rate. Such an exemption may be a better balance between not discouraging investment in the RE sector and ensuring housing affordability.