A Real Economy publication

Construction and real estate industry outlook

June 02, 2026

Key takeaways

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Aging demographics are pushing senior living occupancy back to prepandemic levels.

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Power access, not land or capital, now determines which data center projects move forward.

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Refinancing challenges, not tenant demand, are driving many office outcomes today.

What is the construction and real estate industry outlook?

RSM’s construction and real estate industry outlook discusses how limited construction and labor shortages are tightening supply across the senior living facilities market. In the data center sector, designers are developing projects around megawatts, cooling density and utility timelines. In the office market, leasing is leveling off, but access to capital now separates winners from stalled assets.


Construction and real estate industry trend #1: Data centers enter a power constrained era for real estate developers

The data center sector has entered a defining moment marked by unprecedented demand and constrained power availability. Artificial intelligence, cloud expansion and enterprise digital transformation are accelerating at a pace that’s challenging the limits of existing infrastructure. As a result, the limiting factor is no longer capital or land—it’s power.


Construction and real estate industry trend #2: Senior living demand rebounds as supply constraints reshape the market

The United States is entering a period of accelerated senior housing demand growth as the 80-and-over population expands sharply. Absorption is rising, occupancy has returned to prepandemic levels, and operators are seeing more tours of facilities and leasing activity.


Construction and real estate industry trend #3: Office market stabilizes, but capital constraints reshape recovery

Office market fundamentals appear to be stabilizing, as vacancy rates have begun to level off and leasing activity for higher-quality buildings has improved. However, this operational stabilization is occurring alongside financial stress for many property owners, driven by large volumes of upcoming loan maturities, refinancing challenges and negative equity positions.


Construction and real estate industry trend #4: Affordability is key for multifamily and single-family home construction

The push for more attainable housing will continue to reshape the market for years to come. We expect 2026 will be a turning point for multifamily housing, with stronger rental growth and declining vacancy rates. Developers should make the most of this opportunity by embracing innovation and appealing to a customer base looking to enter the market.


Construction and real estate industry trend #5: Build-to-rent is reshaping U.S. housing

Housing preferences across the U.S. continue to change, but substantial recent bets by institutions show the build-to-rent asset class is here to stay. A new demographic of renters-by-choice is increasingly choosing these communities, which fill a void in the market. Developers should make the most of this opportunity by investing in strategic geographic markets and ensuring consumers’ evolving demands are satisfied.

RSM contributors

  • Amy Baker
    Amy Baker
    Real Estate Industry Senior Analyst; Senior Manager
  • Nicole Lechter
    Nicole Lechter
    Real Estate Senior Analyst
  • Gene Garcia
    Gene Garcia
    Real Estate Senior Analyst
  • Scott Helberg
    Scott Helberg
    Real Estate Senior Analyst
  • Mac Carroll
    Mac Carroll
    Construction Industry Senior Analyst
  • Chris Cecil
    Chris Cecil
    Managing Director

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